Research

Our Latest Insights on the Economy and Markets

Follow our regular commentary, access our latest macro scenarios and industry outlooks, and explore our in-depth thinking on key themes. 

Weekly Note

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Our weekly review of macro/market news and data. Filtering signal from noise with fresh analysis and insight.

Is the Fed Sleepwalking into a Stagflation?

Report for the week ending October 24 2025

Official data return, commodities reverse course, a warning on private credit... and the Fed cuts against a backdrop of easy financial conditions.

Oct 25 2025
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A Vibe Shift with No Backing (Yet)

Report for the week ending October 17th, 2025

Bubble warnings multiply, sentiment sours, safe havens shift... and why more credit defaults aren't a systemic risk.

Oct 17 2025
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Trump reminds us that the U.S. economy could be booming (but it's not)

Report for the week ending October 10, 2025

A tariff escalation, inflation and stagnation, a golden ovation ... and Japan's transformation

Oct 10 2025
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Real/Financial Divergence Creating a Sweet Spot for PE

Report for the week ending October 03, 2025

The outlook for private markets improves, what consumers are actually buying, notes on the "two-speed economy" ...and why you can ignore the shutdown.

Oct 5 2025
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Private Equity Doesn't Need the Fed

Report for the week ending September 26, 2025

The U.S. Economy at a crossroads, B2C booming but B2B "GO"ing broke, why the Fed's dilemma isn't PE's problem… and are we all goldbugs now?

Oct 1 2025
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